TIME Magazine: 5 Myths About the 2006 Midterm Elections

Time.com has a put together a handy list debunking the top five myths of these past elections:


MYTH: Joe Lieberman's victory proves the netroots don't matter.
REALITY: The netroots had some key victories.

MYTH: Democrats won because they carefully recruited more conservative candidates.
REALITY: Democrats won because their candidates were conservative about their message.

MYTH: The losses Republicans suffered this election were no different than what you usually see in a President's sixth year in office.
REALITY: Redistricting minimized what might have been a truly historic shellacking.

MYTH: The election was all about the war.
REALITY: It's the dishonesty, stupid.

MYTH: Republicans lost their base.
REALITY: The base turned out, they just got beat.


The Netroots Had Some Key Victories
[I]n the midst of a Democratic wave, the netroots candidates failed to  sweep, causing some pundits to claim that the netroots' influence  continues to be overstated: "The Netroots Election? Not So Fast,"  editorialized The Nation. When Rick Perlstein tried, in The New Republic, to claim the election as a netroots triumph, Ryan Lizza replied in the magazine's blog that in addition to having the netroots' support, winning candidates  also had the national Democratic party to thank, as it "dumped tons of  money, strategic advice, and fundraising assistance into their races."  What's the real takeaway? Of the 19 candidates that three of the biggest liberal blogs (Daily Kos, mydd.com and Swing  State Project) raised money for, eight of the candidates won. This  improves on the blogs' record from 2004, when Daily Kos picked out 16  campaigns to strongly support and raise money for, all of which lost.  This cycle, bloggers may have been most strongly linked to Lamont, but  they actually donated more money to Jim Webb of Virginia.

Democrats Won Because Their Candidates Were Conservative About Their Message
Washington will see an influx of unorthodox Democrats:  congressmen-elect Heath Shuler in North Carolina and Brad Ellsworth in  Indiana are pro-life and pro-gun. But liberals won in some relatively  conservative areas as well, and often after being largely ignored by  national Democratic strategists. In the House, they include Kentucky's John Yarmuth (who supports universal health care and affirmative action), New Hampshire's Carol Shea-Porter (she was once escorted out of a Bush event for wearing an anti-Bush t-shirt) and Dave Loebsack (an anti-war liberal academic) in Iowa. The same is true of the Senate,  where the new Democratic members include Vermont's Bernie Sanders, a  socialist.

Redistricting Minimized What Might Have Been A Truly Historic Shellacking
Republicans spent most of the year boasting about how the redistricting of the past decade had made them all but bulletproof.  Absent those new district lines, says the American Enterprise  Institute's Norm Ornstein, "it could easily have been 45 or more." And  there are other results that break with past patterns, Ornstein adds.  Democrats did not lose a single seat -- a feat the party had not  accomplished since 1922. Even in the Republican sweep of 1994, the  G.O.P. lost four of its open seats to Democrats. What's more, the wave  swept all the way down the ballot -- for instance, handing the New  Hampshire House to the Democrats for the first time since 1922.

It's The Dishonesty, Stupid
74% of voters surveyed in exit polls ranked corruption and ethics as important in determining their votes;  by comparison, 67% said that about Iraq. The lack of progress in Iraq  helped nationalize the elections, but multiple scandals (Abramoff,  Foley) appear to have driven home an urge for massive change.

The Base Turned Out, They Just Got Beat
[T]he White House's political director Sara Taylor, the difference  between base turnout in 2002 and 2006 is within the margin of error.  And independent exit polls show the same percentages of voters who  called themselves "evangelicals," "white born-again Christians,"  "weekly church-goers," "Republicans" and "conservatives" as in 2006 as  in 2004. "The base turned out," says Taylor, "but independents made up  a larger share of the electorate and they broke very heavily  Democratic."

My favorite debunked myth is the one about the influence of the grassroots and how we've used the web to make our voices heard. I'm tremendously enthusiastic about what we're building, and can't wait to see the impact that we'll have in two years -- and in the time in between. Additionally, while I'm nervously  anxious about seeing the results of our newly elected Congressional majority (given the mess that Republicans  left behind), as a Democratic Party supporter you just gotta feel good about the opportunities before us and the possibility of a permanent Democratic majority.



Display:


Weak article by Time (none / 0)

They basically said that Dems did not win because of  their conservative candidates, but because of their conservative message.
In other words, rather than debunking the 'conservative democrat' myth, Time perpetuates it.
There is no evidence to suggest that Jim Webb, Claire McCaskill, Jon Tester, The Rhode Island senator are conservative in their over-all ideology.
by kingsbridge77 on Mon Nov 20, 2006 at 11:21:58 PM EST

Re: Weak article by Time (none / 0)

I don't belive that that was their point, even if the lead suggests that. The article also includes this:

liberals won in some relatively conservative areas as well, and often after being largely ignored by national Democratic strategists. In the House, they include Kentucky's John Yarmuth (who supports universal health care and affirmative action), New Hampshire's Carol Shea-Porter (she was once escorted out of a Bush event for wearing an anti-Bush t-shirt) and Dave Loebsack (an anti-war liberal academic) in Iowa. The same is true of the Senate, where the new Democratic members include Vermont's Bernie Sanders, a socialist.


Vox Mia -- Adding My Voice to the Chorus
by bedobe on Mon Nov 20, 2006 at 11:31:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weak article by Time (3.00 / 1)

It said More Conservative ABOUT their message... I believe Time was saying that Democrats did not go all over the place with a message but were conservative in sticking with a few key points... the war and corruption and living wages.  By focusing and being conservative with what was put out (not the ideology but the amount talked about) it helped us immensley


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 03:15:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weak article by Time (none / 0)

Good point.  I agree with your take.


Vox Mia -- Adding My Voice to the Chorus
by bedobe on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 03:37:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

My suggestion for TIME Person of the Year (3.00 / 0)

The American Voter.


by sawgrass727 on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 12:41:36 AM EST

Re: My suggestion for TIME Person of the Year (none / 0)

My suggestion? Jack Abramoff.

It's perfect. The guy who ousted the most powerful man in Congress, who defeated Conrad Burns in Montana and gave Democrats the Senate, the guy who was the symbol for the most important issue for voters....


by Jared86 on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 03:47:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My suggestion for TIME Person of the Year (none / 0)

How about SR Sidarth?

he did, afterall, lose Allen his race in Virginia ;)


by KainIIIC on Wed Nov 22, 2006 at 02:21:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My suggestion for TIME Person of the Year (none / 0)

Yeah, that guy has to be feeling pretty good these days.


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Wed Nov 22, 2006 at 11:06:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: TIME Magazine: 5 Myths (none / 0)

I'm sorry, but what the hell does it mean to be "conservative about their message?"

This is actually pretty good stuff for Time, and points out some important realities that many others have been ignoring, such as the many liberal winners, the way redistricting muted the public voice, and the fact that the conservative base is not all-powerful.

But then they also essentially say Democrats obscured what they stood for and just ran against Republicans. That is typical dreck -- 'oh, they're not really conservative, they just lied to pretend they were.'

Thanks, Time.


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 10:06:40 AM EST

Re: TIME Magazine: 5 Myths (none / 0)

My interpretation of that statement is that they didn't run around pushing a 'radical' agenda.  Rather, the Democratic victors heard what the people wanted, they believed in what the people wanted, and they ran on that.

In other words, the media and the public have become so well trained over the years by the RWNM to believe in the 'crazy liberal - the nutty tree hugger, the communist, the pacifist, etc, etc, etc" that the actual message appeared conservative.  Though, the phrasing makes it appear that Time still believes in the RWNM meme.  

The point, I think, of the passage was that these aren't DINOs, as many have asserted, but standard issue left of center (for the most part) Democrats.  


by JJCPA on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 11:13:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: TIME Magazine: 5 Myths (none / 0)

No, you're quite right.  I shouldn't have let myself get bent out of shape over their frozen mindset, since after all they were putting some real info out there.  I'll save my passion for issues that really matter.

Besides, as I think Bowers pointed out right after the election -- if they think this is a conservative victory, it's not so bad living in a conservative nation after all.  To which I can only add, I wonder what it will look like if the liberals win?  Yikes.


Tim Wolfe

John McCain is not pro-choice!

by bruorton on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 11:31:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

Can we please stop using the phrase "Permanent Majority?"  There ain't no such animal, and the idea that there is is arrogant and leads to bad decisions.  After the 2004 elections, I recall Tom DeLay saying, "If 1994 was the year we stopped thinking like a permanent minority, 2004 must be the year we start thinking like a permanent majority."  "Permanent majority" thinking is what got first DeLay and now his majority shit-canned.

As an alternative designator for the kind of long-lasting majority we hope to build on the gain of this election, I propose "generational majority."  If we have a Presidential winner with decent coattails in 2008, we should be able to net another batch of House seats among this years close races, and at least three or four Senate seats as well, given the favorable breakdown of Senate elections that year -- and barring any spectacular screw-ups by our new Administration, hold the majority for a long time to come, especially if we can make more gains in State Legislatures and undo some of the pro-Repug gerrymandering after the 2010 census.


Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama for President! Beat McCain!
by Alex on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 12:38:00 PM EST

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

Clearly "permanent" anything is elusive. However, currently, there's no other short-hand phrase in the political lexicon that conveys the intended goal (to establish a long lasting coalition) better. That said, I like your suggestion, "generational majority." The OpinionJournal article cited in the diary suggests that it is possible for Dems, at this point, to obtain such an illusive goal -- and, yes, strictly speaking, even a "generational majority" is largely a pipe dream.
Vox Mia -- Adding My Voice to the Chorus
by bedobe on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 01:24:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

You're right.  It should never be considered a "Permanent Majority".  However, "Generational Majority" doesn't strike me to be accurate either.  IT implies that it will only last one generation and is explicitly saying it'll last at least one generation.  I propose the lexicon to be a "lasting majority".  This way it gets across that the majority will last a long time, but does imply that it will end without suggesting any sort of time frame.


by maddogg on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 03:57:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

Permanent Majority is also a rather sickening phrase, imo.  Its another way of saying Single Party State - a la China, Cuba, Russia - not countries we should emulate.  

And, in 99% of cases (Modern Japan is about the only exception of a virtual single party state that isn't, you know, evil that I can think of), single party rule is a very bad thing.  We learned how bad it can be in only 6 years.  Imagine 60 years.

Long-term majority is fine with me.  Or generational.  But not permanent.  Plus, permanent reeks of arrogance.


by JJCPA on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 04:41:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

It should never be considered a "Permanent Majority".

Perhaps not but the Republicans appear well on their way to permanent minority.

The party of apartheid still exists in South Africa and runs candidates but I think it not likely it will again rule in the foreseeable future.

The Republican Party chose of its own volition to be the White Man's Party with its southern strategy.  It is now paying the price which will become much steeper in the future if the Democrats do not insist on screwing up.

The idea of teaching the ignorant savages in the Birthplace of Civilization how to govern themselves shows more clearly what the Republican Party is than being the White Party in Mississippi.

Best,  Terry


by terryhallinan on Tue Nov 21, 2006 at 04:50:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Permanent Majority" (none / 0)

You're right, "lasting majority" is better.  "Durable majority," might be better still; it implies the kind of majority that we had from 1948 to 1994.  There were a few elections in there where we lost quite a few seats, but never enough to actually lose control.


Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama for President! Beat McCain!
by Alex on Wed Nov 22, 2006 at 11:17:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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